Sunday, August 23, 2026

Private label now owns 52% of UK grocery sales. Here's why SME FMCG suppliers are losing range reviews — and the six-point system that fixes it.

Only 30 percent of corporate change efforts fully succeed, 44 percent create some value but miss their targets, and 26 percent create little or nothing, according to Boston Consulting Group's research on digital transformation, still the most commonly cited data on this question in 2026 even though the fieldwork is a few years old. That means the honest odds on the new system, the new process or the new hire you are about to roll out into your business are closer to a coin flip than a certainty, and most owners never ask why.

Kevin has spent over 30 years building and advising businesses, and has watched far more operational fixes fail from a missing diagnosis than from a bad idea. It is the first thing to check before your next one.

The Symptom Fix

Here is the enemy worth naming: the symptom fix. Sales are slow, so you hire a salesperson. Jobs run late, so you buy new software. Staff are disengaged, so you run a morale event. Each of these treats the visible symptom while leaving the actual cause exactly where it was, which is part of why BCG found that fewer than a third of change efforts actually stick. A fix aimed at the wrong target does not fail loudly, it fails quietly, months later, when the new hire, the new software or the new policy has been absorbed and the original problem has simply found a new way to show up.

Rumelt's Kernel, Applied to Operations

Richard Rumelt, the strategy academic behind Good Strategy, Bad Strategy, built a three-part kernel to test whether a strategy is real or just a wish list. I use the same three questions on a business's operations, not just its market strategy, because a fix needs exactly the same discipline a strategy does:

  • 1. Diagnosis — name the actual problem, in one sentence, backed by what you can show someone, not what you assume.
  • 2. Guiding policy — state the one approach you are choosing to fix it, and just as importantly, what you are choosing not to do.
  • 3. Coherent action — list the specific, sequenced steps that carry out the policy, each one pointing at the diagnosis, not at a separate idea that sounded good in the same meeting.

Skip the diagnosis and the other two steps are just activity. This is the exact test I run with owners before we touch a single system or hire a single person, inside the productivity work of the Simple-Growth System.

"Specific to my business requirements and takes a systematic approach. Practical, specific, and pertinent to my business."

— Simon Keepa

Why the Diagnosis Gets Skipped

Owners skip the diagnosis step almost every time, not from laziness, but from urgency. The phone is ringing, the job is late, and a diagnosis feels like a delay when what everyone wants is action. The irony in BCG's own numbers is that the 70 percent who fall short, fully or partially, usually chose the fix before naming the real problem. A one-hour diagnosis conversation, done properly, is nearly always cheaper than a six-month fix aimed at the wrong target.

Key Takeaways

  • Know your odds: BCG's research puts full success at only 30 percent for change efforts, with another 44 percent falling short of their targets.
  • Diagnose before you fix: name the real problem in one sentence you could defend to someone else, before choosing the fix.
  • Separate policy from activity: pick the one approach you are taking, and say clearly what you are not doing.
  • Chain every action to the diagnosis: a step that does not trace back to the named problem is just busywork wearing a plan's clothing.

If your last fix did not stick, the diagnosis is usually where it went wrong, not the effort.

Be the owner whose next fix starts with the real problem.