Sunday, November 01, 2026

Management Capability Development funding can cover up to half of one-to-one business training for eligible NZ businesses. Here is who qualifies, what it covers, what it does not, and the order to do things in.

Net -9% of small business owners reported higher sales last month. Net -19% reported higher profits. That gap is not noise — it is the story. NFIB's Small Business Economic Trends survey for August 2026, released 8 September 2026, shows profit trends falling more than twice as fast as sales trends across the US small business economy. If your top line looks steady and your bank balance still feels tight, this is almost certainly why.

Your Sales Are Not Lying to You. Your Margin Is Telling the Real Story

Most owners treat revenue as the health check for the business. It's the number on the bank statement, the number in the CRM, the number a bookkeeper reports first. It is also, according to NFIB's latest data, the wrong number to watch right now.

A net 31% of small business owners raised their prices in August — they did exactly what the textbooks recommend when costs rise. Profit trends fell anyway, and fell faster than sales did. Inflation concerns climbed to 16% of owners citing it as their top problem, tied with taxes for the top spot (NFIB SBET, August 2026). Pricing power alone isn't closing the gap. Something underneath the price increase — the real, line-by-line cost structure of the business — is moving faster than the price rise can cover.

This is the enemy: not a demand problem, not a sales team problem, but a blended-number problem. When you manage the business off one number — revenue, or even "gross profit" as a single lump — you cannot see which specific cost is eating the increase you just fought to win.

The Profit Lag Test

Here is the three-step check Kevin runs with every client who says "sales are fine, but I don't know where the money's going."

1. Chart your sales trend against your gross margin percentage — not gross margin dollars — for the last two quarters, side by side. If margin percentage is falling while sales are flat or growing, you have a Profit Lag. Most accounting software can produce this in minutes; most owners have never looked at it this way.

2. Test your price increases against your real input costs, line by line, not blended. A price rise that covers your average cost increase can still leave you exposed on your three or four highest-volume inputs — the ones actually driving the erosion.

3. Rank your costs by rate of change, not by size. The line item growing fastest — a freight surcharge, a subcontractor rate, a platform fee — is usually the leak, even when it's nowhere near your biggest expense.

"Kevin is an absolute powerhouse! He doubled our business's profits in the first month alone with lots more of his recommendations still to be rolled out."

— Curtis Hacon, Give A Sh!t

Why Owners Know This and Still Don't Do It

Almost every owner Kevin sits down with already knows, in general terms, that costs have crept up. What they don't have is a system that isolates margin by product line, service line, or customer segment on a rolling basis — so they manage on instinct and a single blended P and L instead. The other blocker is sequencing: pricing decisions, supplier renegotiations, and product-mix changes all get made in isolation, by whoever is closest to the fire that week, instead of through one accountable weekly review.

This is also where Simple-Growth's role has a boundary. Building the cost structure itself — the chart of accounts, the job costing, the line-item bookkeeping — is accounting and bookkeeping work, and it deserves a specialist. If you don't already have a management accountant or a strong Xero advisor doing this for you, Chartered Accountants ANZ and the Xero advisor network are good places to start. What Simple-Growth does is turn that data, once you have it, into the weekly decisions and accountability structure that actually move the margin — which is where the Simple-Growth System™ comes in.

Three Things to Check This Week

Pull your gross margin percentage trend for the last six months — not just this month's number. Identify your three fastest-rising cost lines, regardless of size. And ask, honestly, whether your last price increase was set by looking at real input costs or by guessing at what the market would tolerate.

Key Takeaways

  • Small business profit trends are currently falling more than twice as fast as sales trends (NFIB, August 2026: net -19% profit vs net -9% sales).
  • Price increases alone are not closing the gap — a net 31% of owners raised prices in August and profits still fell.
  • The Profit Lag Test compares margin percentage (not margin dollars) against sales over two quarters to catch this early.
  • Rank cost lines by rate of change, not size — the fastest-growing cost is usually the real leak.
  • A blended P and L hides the problem; line-item and weekly review systems are what surface it in time to act.

If your sales look fine and something still feels off, Kevin can help you find your Profit Lag before it costs you another quarter.

...and you become the owner who sees where your margin is leaking while there is still time to fix it.

Tuesday, October 27, 2026

Most SME marketing describes the product and targets a demographic — and both miss why people actually buy. Here's the Jobs To Be Done framework, and how to find the job your business is really being hired to do.

Tuesday, October 27, 2026

Nearly half of businesses miss the target they set for themselves — and it's rarely because the team didn't try hard enough. Here's the three-number check that builds a 2027 target you can actually hit.

Monday, October 26, 2026

ActionCOACH, an EOS Implementer or an independent coach? A fair, source-linked guide for US owners, with a six-question test to match the help to your biggest constraint.

Monday, October 26, 2026

Gallup's 2026 global workplace data shows manager engagement is collapsing faster than everyone else's. Here's the research-backed 3-step fix for SME owners wearing the manager hat too.

Monday, October 26, 2026

Only about a third of seasonal businesses hold enough cash to cover their leanest months before the slow season hits. Here's the ten-minute reserve check before this year's peak trade.

Monday, October 26, 2026

A well-known coaching ROI study found a $7.90 return per $1 spent. Here's an honest look at where that number comes from, and what actually transfers to an SME owner.

Monday, October 26, 2026

Only around 20% of companies complete 80% of their strategic goals, and fewer than half of employees know what's expected of them. Here's how OKRs fix that at SME scale.

Monday, October 26, 2026

Bain research shows winning a new customer can cost up to 25 times more than keeping one you already have. Here's the CLV/CAC discipline that flips where your sales effort goes.

Monday, October 26, 2026

A 2026 Gartner survey found SMEs put just 12% of marketing spend into brand-building, against the 60% long-term research recommends. Here's what that costs you eighteen months from now.

Monday, October 26, 2026

Fewer than 5% of employees understand their company's strategy well enough to act on it. Here's the one-page scorecard that fixes it, reviewed in 15 minutes a week.

Sunday, October 25, 2026

Help to Grow: Management, a peer group like Vistage, or a business coach? An honest UK comparison, with best for and not ideal if for every option.

Sunday, October 25, 2026

Free and low-cost mentoring suits some NZ owners; paid coaching suits others. Here is how to tell which fits your stage, your problem and your budget.

Sunday, October 25, 2026

Most SME owners know their follower count, not where their last ten paying customers actually came from. Here is the 2026 data on what really drives growth.

Sunday, October 25, 2026

ANZ's September 2026 survey shows NZ business confidence easing again. Here's the trap that data creates for SME owners, and how growth-minded owners should read it instead.

Sunday, October 25, 2026

More people call themselves a business coach than ever before. Here's the one test that actually separates a coach who gets results from one who just talks.