Sunday, October 25, 2026

More people call themselves a business coach than ever before. Here's the one test that actually separates a coach who gets results from one who just talks.

Every November, a familiar ritual starts in boardrooms and kitchen-table offices across New Zealand and the US: next year's number gets set. Usually it's last year's revenue plus a percentage that felt ambitious in the moment. A widely cited UK survey of business leaders found 44% had missed their own earnings target at some point, and almost half missed it in the very first quarter of the year. If that's been your pattern too, the problem almost certainly isn't effort — it's how the target got built in the first place.

After founding or co-founding nine companies and coaching more than 200 businesses one-on-one, Kevin has never once seen a team miss a target because they didn't try hard enough. He has seen plenty miss because the target was fiction from the day it was written down.

The Target That Was Never Really a Plan

Here's the enemy: percentage-on-last-year planning. Take this year's revenue, add 15% or 20% because that number sounds motivating in a meeting, and call it the plan. It isn't a plan — it's an extrapolation, and extrapolations don't account for a market that's shifted, a team that's already at capacity, or an owner who's quietly run out of hours in the week.

A 2023 survey conducted by the revenue-intelligence firm Gong, reported in Startups Magazine (UK), found that more than half of business leaders said accurate forecasting mattered more because of economic uncertainty — yet most were still building those forecasts in a spreadsheet, dragging last year's line forward. The target wasn't wrong because people didn't work hard enough to hit it. It was wrong on the day it was set.

The Three Numbers That Actually Set a Realistic Target

Before you write down a number for 2027, run it past three checks instead of one gut feel:

  • Capacity ceiling — what could your current team, systems and cash actually deliver flat out, with no new hires and no new tools? That's your floor, not your target.
  • Market reality check — is your category growing, flat or shrinking right now, and is your plan riding that current or swimming against it? A 20% target in a shrinking category is a different bet than a 20% target in a growing one.
  • Owner bandwidth — how many of next year's hours are already spoken for by you personally? If the plan depends on you doing more of everything, it's not a growth plan — it's a wish with a deadline.

"I have grown my business 5x since working with Kevin. Everything Kevin told me to do was the complete opposite of what I had been doing. Working with Kevin has truly been a complete game changer."

— Richard, Chem Suppliers

Why Owners Keep Building the Same Broken Plan

Most owners already sense their target is soft. They build it the old way anyway, because the three checks above take an honest look at the business, and an honest look takes someone outside the business to run it properly. Inside your own head, the capacity ceiling always looks a little higher and the market always looks a little kinder than it really is. That's not a character flaw — it's just what happens when the person setting the target is the same person who has to live with the consequences of getting it wrong.

This is the exact gap a coach closes: someone in the room who has no incentive to flatter your forecast, and thirty years of watching which numbers hold up and which ones quietly unravel by March.

Key Takeaways

  • Replace "last year plus a percentage" with a target built on capacity, market direction and owner bandwidth.
  • Treat your capacity ceiling as the floor of the conversation, not an aspirational stretch.
  • Check whether your plan is riding your category's current or swimming against it before you commit to a number.
  • Bring in an outside, unflattering view before you finalise next year's target — not after it's already missed.

If your 2027 target is just last year's number with a percentage bolted on, Kevin will help you fix that first.

Be the owner who starts 2027 with a target built on real numbers, not a hopeful percentage.

Monday, September 21, 2026

Most SME marketing still targets a customer persona sketched out years ago. Here's how to find out who's actually buying — and fix the mismatch.

Monday, September 21, 2026

Most SME sales proposals are built to impress, not to close. Here's the one-page format that gets buyers to yes faster.

Monday, September 21, 2026

If Sunday afternoon has become the least relaxing part of your weekend, it's a design problem, not a discipline one. Here's the fix.

Monday, September 21, 2026

Most owners choose a coaching format by budget, not by stage. Here's the test that shows which format actually fits your business right now.

Monday, September 21, 2026

Private label deals look like free growth — until they quietly cost you margin, capacity, and control. Here's how to protect your brand before signing.

Monday, September 21, 2026

New global research says 68% of small business owners now choose stability over speed — and that's the smarter growth strategy. Here's the 3-step Depth Audit to grow without breaking what you've built.

Thursday, September 17, 2026

Most growth strategies don't fail because the market changed — they fail because nobody tested the assumptions underneath them. Here's the four-question audit that catches the weak spot before it costs you a year.

Thursday, September 17, 2026

Your website, socials, and sales team may all be telling a slightly different story. Consistent brands see up to 33% more revenue — here's the one-page Message Map that fixes the drift.

Thursday, September 17, 2026

Sales closes the deal, then delivery loses the customer within a quarter. The one-page Handover Brief that carries the promise, the anxiety, and the customer's real definition of success forward.

Thursday, September 17, 2026

Every interruption costs roughly 23 minutes of refocus time, not seconds. The Protected Block system that stops "always available" from quietly destroying your most productive hours.

Thursday, September 17, 2026

Coaching doesn't feel like steady progress — it dips hard around week five before the real structural change lands. Here's the 90-day curve nobody warns owners about, and why it matters.

Thursday, September 17, 2026

The instincts that built your first million will cap your next five if you don't replace them. Greiner's Growth Model explains why — and the Stage Check that shows if you've already outgrown your playbook.

Thursday, September 17, 2026

A new NielsenIQ study found 58% of shoppers don't care if it's your brand or the store's own. Here's the 3-step test to see if your FMCG brand earns its price premium.

Thursday, September 17, 2026

Chasing every dollar of revenue isn't a growth strategy — it's a collection plate. Here's the four-question filter Kevin uses with clients before any deal gets signed.

Thursday, September 17, 2026

Most SMEs treat marketing spend like rent — fixed, tolerated, never questioned. Here's the 70-20-10 test-and-learn loop that turns it into compounding evidence instead.