Wednesday, October 28, 2026

Which jobs should a US small business hand to AI first? Published US data, a five-check test and a 30-day plan to pick one job, track one number and keep the decisions that matter.

Ask most SME owners where their business needs to be in twelve months and you'll get a number: a revenue target, a hire, a launch date. Ask where they need to be — personally — in three years, and the answer is usually a pause, followed by something vague about "having more freedom eventually."

A new survey makes that silence measurable. Exit Factor's October 2026 study of 1,104 US small business owners, fielded by Researchscape International, found that 57% are leaning on their business to fund whatever comes next in their life, and a third have taken zero steps to plan for it. Nearly two-thirds hold more than half their personal net worth inside the business. Only 15% have a formal written exit plan, and 47% say it still feels too early to think about it.

That's not a retirement problem. It's a vision problem — and it starts years before anyone thinks about selling.

The Problem: "Grow the Business" Isn't a Vision

Here's the enemy in this story, and it isn't the owner. It's the idea — picked up from a hundred LinkedIn posts and "hustle" accounts — that a vision statement is a company artifact. Something for the website. A line the marketing team drafts. Meanwhile the owner's actual life, the one the business was supposed to fund, never gets the same treatment.

So the business grows, sometimes impressively, while the owner's personal picture of the future stays exactly where it was five years ago: fuzzy, unscheduled, "eventually." The Exit Factor numbers show where that leads. Nearly two in three owners have the majority of their wealth trapped inside an asset they haven't actually planned around. Almost half say it's still "too early" to think it through, at an age and stage where, if the business is doing well, it absolutely isn't.

I've worked with businesses from startups to $100m+ turnover, and the pattern repeats at every size: a plan that starts with the business ("let's hit $5m") rarely survives contact with a bad quarter. A plan that starts with the owner's life, the income, the hours, the thing they actually want to be true in three years, gives every other decision somewhere to point.

The Framework: Build the Vivid Vision Before the Strategy

Cameron Herold, the entrepreneur behind 1-800-GOT-JUNK's scale-up, calls this a Vivid Vision, and combined with Jim Collins' idea of a Big Hairy Audacious Goal and Simon Sinek's "start with why," it becomes a genuinely practical tool rather than a motivational exercise. Here's the three-step version I run with Simple-Growth clients.

1. Start with the life, not the company. Three years from today, what does a great week actually look like? Hours worked, time off, what fills the days that matter. What personal income do you want the business to pay you, and what wealth do you want it to build? This question alone tends to take longer to answer honestly than anything else in a strategy session, which is exactly the point.

2. Picture the company in specifics. Not "bigger" — who the customers are, what you're known for, how people find you, the size and feel of the team, what finally runs without you in the room, the revenue and profit numbers. Push for figures, not adjectives. A vision with no numbers is a wish.

3. Anchor it with a why and a decade goal. One sentence on why the business exists at all, and one bold 10-year goal the three-year picture is a genuine step toward. This is what turns a daydream into a direction every decision can be measured against.

Done properly, this takes two pages, not twenty, and it should be short enough to put in front of your team.

"He really got our vision from the beginning and has been a huge help in putting together a clearer plan and strategy for the next five years. Working with Kevin D'Ambros-Smith has given us the space to pause and reflect, on where we are now, where we want to be and how we get there."

— Gabby Kirk, Papier Hq

The Execution Gap: Why Owners Skip This Anyway

Most owners aren't avoiding this because they don't see the value. They skip it because it's uncomfortable, unscheduled, and nobody is holding them accountable to finish it. A strategy document with numbers in it feels like "real work." A conversation about what you personally want from the next three years of your life feels indulgent, right up until you're the 47% who still says it's "too early," ten years in.

There's also a real boundary worth naming here: a Vivid Vision tells you what you want your finances and your exit to look like, but turning that into a sale structure, a trust, or a tax-efficient ownership transition is a job for a specialist, not a coach. Chartered Accountants ANZ and a commercial lawyer are the right people once the vision gets specific about money and ownership, knowing that boundary is part of building a properly supported business.

Quick Wins — Do This Before Your Next Planning Meeting

1. Block 90 minutes, alone, and answer the life questions above in writing, not in your head.

2. Write the company picture in present tense, as if three years from now has already happened. Specifics, not adjectives.

3. Share the one-page result with your leadership team before you touch next year's budget.

Key Takeaways

  • A business growth number is not a life vision — most SME owners confuse the two, and the business absorbs the owner's future by default.
  • 57% of US small business owners currently rely on their business to fund their next life stage, and a third have taken no steps to plan for it, per Exit Factor's October 2026 research.
  • Only 15% of US small business owners have a formal written exit plan, despite nearly two-thirds holding over half their net worth inside the business.
  • Build a Vivid Vision — a specific, numbers-based, three-years-out picture of both your life and your company — before you write another strategy document.
  • Treat the vision as the owner's job and the tax- or ownership-structure work as a specialist's job — know the boundary between the two.

Ready to build your own three-year picture instead of guessing at "eventually"?

Wednesday, September 09, 2026

That pricing review, that org chart, that product line nobody will kill — they're not neutral. Learn how to spot and pay down the strategic debt quietly taxing every decision you make.

Wednesday, September 09, 2026

Most business owners survive the slow season and wait for trading to pick up. The ones who grow fastest use the quiet to fix last peak's bottlenecks, cross-train their teams, and renegotiate supplier terms.

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When coaching starts feeling comfortable, most owners think they've outgrown their coach. Usually they've just outgrown the scope. Here's how the Scope Reset Conversation keeps a great coaching relationship producing great results.

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At five people, the founder is the system. At twelve, that system breaks. The Ten-Employee Wall is a predictable structural failure — and here's the Systems Reset framework that gets you through it.

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Most businesses plan for Q4 in January — after it's already over. The owners who consistently outperform their peers write their Q4 plan in September, while there's still time to act on what they find.

Wednesday, September 09, 2026

A new survey shows the average small business owner is running five jobs at once — and burning 200+ hours a year proving it. Here's the two-hat framework that gets your time back within 90 days.

Tuesday, September 08, 2026

New 2026 consumer data shows most shoppers are value-seekers, not bargain hunters — yet 95% still rate brand trust as important. Here's the six-point test your FMCG brand must pass to earn the sale without discounting.

Tuesday, September 08, 2026

New 2026 grocery data shows branded FMCG products are being promoted twice as often as private label — and still losing share and loyalty. Kevin D'Ambros-Smith on why discounting harder is the wrong fix, and what pricing architecture looks like instead.

Monday, September 07, 2026

A 2026 Fed survey of 6,525 small businesses found owner confidence at a 6-year low — while actual revenue, employment and profitability held steady. Why the gap, not the economy, is the real risk for SME and FMCG owners.

Sunday, September 06, 2026

Burst campaigns reset to zero every time. Here's why a sustainable weekly cadence beats an intense one-month push, and how to protect it through the slow months.

Sunday, September 06, 2026

Most SME sales forecasts are built by adding up pipeline value — and it's almost always wrong. Here's how exit criteria, deal age, and weighted forecasting fix it.

Sunday, September 06, 2026

Most of what fills an owner's calendar isn't driving results. Here's how to run a structured 80/20 audit that identifies the real 20% — and what to do with the rest.

Sunday, September 06, 2026

One-on-one coaching diagnoses and designs strategy. A peer accountability group enforces it. Here's why the combination produces follow-through that neither achieves alone.