Saturday, October 31, 2026
68% of US owners have delayed a major decision purely from fear of getting it wrong. Here's the 15-minute premortem test that gets you unstuck before you spend another dollar on it.
Ask most SME owners where their business needs to be in twelve months and you'll get a number: a revenue target, a hire, a launch date. Ask where they need to be — personally — in three years, and the answer is usually a pause, followed by something vague about "having more freedom eventually."
A new survey makes that silence measurable. Exit Factor's October 2026 study of 1,104 US small business owners, fielded by Researchscape International, found that 57% are leaning on their business to fund whatever comes next in their life, and a third have taken zero steps to plan for it. Nearly two-thirds hold more than half their personal net worth inside the business. Only 15% have a formal written exit plan, and 47% say it still feels too early to think about it.
That's not a retirement problem. It's a vision problem — and it starts years before anyone thinks about selling.
Here's the enemy in this story, and it isn't the owner. It's the idea — picked up from a hundred LinkedIn posts and "hustle" accounts — that a vision statement is a company artifact. Something for the website. A line the marketing team drafts. Meanwhile the owner's actual life, the one the business was supposed to fund, never gets the same treatment.
So the business grows, sometimes impressively, while the owner's personal picture of the future stays exactly where it was five years ago: fuzzy, unscheduled, "eventually." The Exit Factor numbers show where that leads. Nearly two in three owners have the majority of their wealth trapped inside an asset they haven't actually planned around. Almost half say it's still "too early" to think it through, at an age and stage where, if the business is doing well, it absolutely isn't.
I've worked with businesses from startups to $100m+ turnover, and the pattern repeats at every size: a plan that starts with the business ("let's hit $5m") rarely survives contact with a bad quarter. A plan that starts with the owner's life, the income, the hours, the thing they actually want to be true in three years, gives every other decision somewhere to point.
Cameron Herold, the entrepreneur behind 1-800-GOT-JUNK's scale-up, calls this a Vivid Vision, and combined with Jim Collins' idea of a Big Hairy Audacious Goal and Simon Sinek's "start with why," it becomes a genuinely practical tool rather than a motivational exercise. Here's the three-step version I run with Simple-Growth clients.
1. Start with the life, not the company. Three years from today, what does a great week actually look like? Hours worked, time off, what fills the days that matter. What personal income do you want the business to pay you, and what wealth do you want it to build? This question alone tends to take longer to answer honestly than anything else in a strategy session, which is exactly the point.
2. Picture the company in specifics. Not "bigger" — who the customers are, what you're known for, how people find you, the size and feel of the team, what finally runs without you in the room, the revenue and profit numbers. Push for figures, not adjectives. A vision with no numbers is a wish.
3. Anchor it with a why and a decade goal. One sentence on why the business exists at all, and one bold 10-year goal the three-year picture is a genuine step toward. This is what turns a daydream into a direction every decision can be measured against.
Done properly, this takes two pages, not twenty, and it should be short enough to put in front of your team.
"He really got our vision from the beginning and has been a huge help in putting together a clearer plan and strategy for the next five years. Working with Kevin D'Ambros-Smith has given us the space to pause and reflect, on where we are now, where we want to be and how we get there."
— Gabby Kirk, Papier Hq
Most owners aren't avoiding this because they don't see the value. They skip it because it's uncomfortable, unscheduled, and nobody is holding them accountable to finish it. A strategy document with numbers in it feels like "real work." A conversation about what you personally want from the next three years of your life feels indulgent, right up until you're the 47% who still says it's "too early," ten years in.
There's also a real boundary worth naming here: a Vivid Vision tells you what you want your finances and your exit to look like, but turning that into a sale structure, a trust, or a tax-efficient ownership transition is a job for a specialist, not a coach. Chartered Accountants ANZ and a commercial lawyer are the right people once the vision gets specific about money and ownership, knowing that boundary is part of building a properly supported business.
1. Block 90 minutes, alone, and answer the life questions above in writing, not in your head.
2. Write the company picture in present tense, as if three years from now has already happened. Specifics, not adjectives.
3. Share the one-page result with your leadership team before you touch next year's budget.
Ready to build your own three-year picture instead of guessing at "eventually"?
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
42 percent of B2B businesses do nothing proactive during the pre-Christmas slowdown. Here's what the ones who keep selling do differently, and why January rewards them for it.
Monday, October 19, 2026
Is Vistage worth it? A fair, source-linked look at what peer advisory groups offer US business owners, a checklist for deciding, and how one-on-one coaching differs.
Monday, October 19, 2026
Most small business owners know they don't compete on price, but can't say, in one sentence, what they compete on instead. Here's the three-step framework that fixes it.
Monday, October 19, 2026
A strong December can feel like proof you're growing. It can also be the reason nobody builds the pipeline that carries January. Here's the three-question check to run now.
Monday, October 19, 2026
A good coach doesn't start with your goals. They start with three numbers most owners can't answer on the spot, and that gap tells them exactly where to begin.
Monday, October 19, 2026
Most SME owners have tried an AI tool this year. Few can say, in hours, what it actually saved them. Here's the test that tells the difference, and the first step to take.
Monday, October 19, 2026
By the time a prospect calls you, they've already done most of their own research. Here's the sales approach built for exactly that moment, and why most SME pitches skip it.
Monday, October 19, 2026
Social platforms can change the rules on your reach overnight. Here's the one marketing channel no algorithm can take away from you, and why most SME owners still starve it.
Monday, October 19, 2026
A new survey says 53% of small business owners are stuck on finding customers. Here's the one-question test that finds out whether that's really your constraint, or just the easiest one to blame.
Sunday, October 18, 2026
ActionCOACH, Business Blueprint, government-backed advice and independent coaches compared fairly for Australian owners, with best-for and not-ideal-if for each.
Sunday, October 18, 2026
An executive coach develops you as a leader. A business coach works on the business itself. Here is how to tell which one an NZ SME owner needs before paying for either.
Sunday, October 18, 2026
Most SME owners can tell you their revenue. Almost none can tell you which customers are actually making them a profit. New 2026 research shows why that gap is the real growth problem, and a three-step fix.
Sunday, October 18, 2026
The average small business gets 27 percent of revenue from one customer. Here is the three-question check that tells you whether your growth is real, or just concentration in disguise.
Sunday, October 18, 2026
Coaching can return seven times its cost, PwC research suggests, but rarely from where owners expect. Here is where the real ROI on a business coach actually shows up.
Sunday, October 18, 2026
Gallup found managers think they give weekly feedback, their teams say otherwise. See why your business systems depend on a conversation most owners are avoiding.