Friday, October 30, 2026

If your business stops the moment you do, the problem isn't your team. It's how many of their problems you're still quietly carrying. Here's the fix, from a 1974 HBR classic.

It's 11pm on a Thursday and the decision is still sitting open on your laptop. Hire the second salesperson, or not. Sign the five-year lease, or wait another quarter. Finally let go of the client who pays late and shouts first. You've run the numbers four times and you still haven't clicked save.

If you're stuck on a decision like that, the fastest way through it isn't more analysis. It's a fifteen-minute exercise called a premortem, run before you commit, not after you're already regretting it.

Nine times out of ten, what looks like "I need more information" is actually "I'm scared of being wrong, and gathering data feels safer than deciding." You're not lazy and you're not indecisive. You're human, and you're about to make the decision anyway — this just makes sure you make it with your eyes open.

Why You're Not Lazy, You're Scared

Here's the villain, and it isn't you: the idea that a confident owner decides fast and a careful one decides slow, so if you're stuck, something's wrong with you. That's backwards. A 2026 Bluevine survey of US small business owners found 68% had delayed or avoided a major decision — hiring, expanding, a big commitment — specifically from fear of getting it wrong. You are nowhere near alone on that laptop at 11pm.

I used to do this with words instead of business decisions. Early on I'd redraft the same email a dozen times before sending it, chasing a version with no risk in it. It doesn't exist. The work doesn't improve in your head — it improves once it's out in the world and you can react to what actually happens. The lesson cost me time I didn't get back: it can't work for you until it's in the public domain. A decision is the same. The fear doesn't go away before you decide. You decide, and then you deal with what the fear was actually pointing at.

The Premortem: Fifteen Minutes, Before You Commit

Psychologist Gary Klein published a simple fix for this in the Harvard Business Review back in 2007, called a project premortem. Instead of asking "what could go wrong?" — which your brain will wave off with "it'll probably be fine" — you assume the decision has already failed, a year from now, and work backwards from there. It feels uncomfortable. That discomfort is the whole point; it's what gets the real risks out of your gut and onto paper.

  • Declare it failed. Write one sentence: "It's twelve months from now and this decision was a mistake."
  • List every reason, fast. Give yourself five minutes. No editing, no "that's unlikely" — just every way it could have gone wrong.
  • Rank by damage, not just odds. A rare risk that sinks the business matters more than a common one you'd shrug off.
  • Fix your top two before you sign anything. Build the guardrail now, while it's still cheap, not after it's already gone wrong.

"Kevin's knowledge and intellect on all things business — no matter what industry it is — he just seems to find gems that you can focus on. I catch up with Kevin once a week and it is definitely the highlight of my week. He just sees different opportunities so clearly. I would not have considered the B2C market as an opportunity before working with Kevin and now it is a major focus for us. He has opened up so many new opportunities for us."

— John Roberts, Co-owner and COO, Oragene

Why Most Owners Run It Once, Then Shelve It

You can do a premortem solo, and it's worth doing even then. But the real gap isn't the framework — it's that most owners run it once, in their own head, with their own blind spots doing the marking. You already know the two or three risks you're quietly hoping nobody asks about. That's exactly where an outside pair of eyes earns its keep: someone who's sat across the table from a hundred decisions like yours and will ask the question you're avoiding, not just nod along with the plan you've already half-decided on.

This isn't for you if what you actually want is someone to make the call for you, or tell you the "right" answer exists and you just haven't found it yet. It doesn't. What you can get is a sharper, faster, better-tested version of your own judgement — which, once you trust it, is worth more than a hundred more hours of research ever will be.

Key Takeaways

  • Name the real blocker. Decision paralysis is usually fear of being wrong, not a lack of data.
  • Run the premortem first. Declare the decision failed, list every reason why, before you commit.
  • Rank by damage. Fix the risks that would sink you, not just the ones that are easy to picture.
  • Decide, then adjust. Clarity beats certainty — certainty was never on offer.

You already know more about this decision than anyone else in the room. The premortem doesn't hand you certainty — nobody can promise you that. It hands you clarity, and clarity is what turns a decision you've been dreading into one you're actually ready to make.

If the big decision has been sitting open on your laptop for weeks, that's the conversation to have before you spend another dollar on it.

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

New industry research finds most senior consumer goods leaders cannot say whether their last year of promotions actually made money. Here is the Revenue Growth Management discipline that fixes it before Christmas stock ships.

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

New research shows 90 percent of small business owners are preoccupied with work outside normal hours. Michael Gerber's E-Myth explains why, and names the one shift that actually fixes it.

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

Workplace research puts the cost of refocusing after an interruption at around 23 minutes, and the average worker now fields well over 100 messages a day. Here is how to protect the hours that actually move your business.

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

Forrester research finds only 8 percent of B2B buyers name price as the biggest driver of their decision. Here is how to find out what a price objection is actually about, before you reach for a discount.

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

A new Gartner survey finds most B2B buyers would rather research and decide without ever speaking to a salesperson. If your marketing cannot carry the whole sale alone, here is the tool that fixes it.

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

New Gallup data shows only 11 percent of SME owners with staff have a detailed written plan, and most of the rest will try to write next year's in December. Here is the three-date fix to do this week instead.

Monday, October 12, 2026

EOS or Scaling Up? A fair, source-linked comparison for US owners, a five-point checklist to choose, and the growth questions neither operating system answers.

Monday, October 12, 2026

The seven concerns SME owners raise most often in coaching, why each one happens, and what actually helps.

Monday, October 12, 2026

Growth rarely needs you to do more. It needs you to stop five habits that quietly hold your business back.

Monday, October 12, 2026

Seven low-cost ways to lift sales this week, starting with the customers and quotes already in your business.

Monday, October 12, 2026

The 4 real reasons marketing fails for SME owners, and the practical, low-cost fix for each one.

Monday, October 12, 2026

New research shows 39% of small business owners blame admin, not the market, for stalling their growth. Here is how to find the real constraint before you spend another dollar fixing the wrong one.

Monday, October 12, 2026

Only 20-30% of businesses for sale actually sell, often because they can't run without their owner. Here's how to design yours so it can.

Monday, October 12, 2026

Writing your goals down is linked to real gains in achieving them. Here's the Vivid Vision exercise that turns a fuzzy dream into a measurable plan.

Monday, October 12, 2026

Owners using AI with purpose save 6 to 10 hours a week. Here's the simple audit that finds your first three tasks to hand over.