Tuesday, October 27, 2026
A third of US small business owners say they don't know whether they have the tools — AI included — to grow next year. That's not a confidence problem, it's a visibility one, and it's fixable in an afternoon.
Ask most SME owners where their business needs to be in twelve months and you'll get a number: a revenue target, a hire, a launch date. Ask where they need to be — personally — in three years, and the answer is usually a pause, followed by something vague about "having more freedom eventually."
A new survey makes that silence measurable. Exit Factor's October 2026 study of 1,104 US small business owners, fielded by Researchscape International, found that 57% are leaning on their business to fund whatever comes next in their life, and a third have taken zero steps to plan for it. Nearly two-thirds hold more than half their personal net worth inside the business. Only 15% have a formal written exit plan, and 47% say it still feels too early to think about it.
That's not a retirement problem. It's a vision problem — and it starts years before anyone thinks about selling.
Here's the enemy in this story, and it isn't the owner. It's the idea — picked up from a hundred LinkedIn posts and "hustle" accounts — that a vision statement is a company artifact. Something for the website. A line the marketing team drafts. Meanwhile the owner's actual life, the one the business was supposed to fund, never gets the same treatment.
So the business grows, sometimes impressively, while the owner's personal picture of the future stays exactly where it was five years ago: fuzzy, unscheduled, "eventually." The Exit Factor numbers show where that leads. Nearly two in three owners have the majority of their wealth trapped inside an asset they haven't actually planned around. Almost half say it's still "too early" to think it through, at an age and stage where, if the business is doing well, it absolutely isn't.
I've worked with businesses from startups to $100m+ turnover, and the pattern repeats at every size: a plan that starts with the business ("let's hit $5m") rarely survives contact with a bad quarter. A plan that starts with the owner's life, the income, the hours, the thing they actually want to be true in three years, gives every other decision somewhere to point.
Cameron Herold, the entrepreneur behind 1-800-GOT-JUNK's scale-up, calls this a Vivid Vision, and combined with Jim Collins' idea of a Big Hairy Audacious Goal and Simon Sinek's "start with why," it becomes a genuinely practical tool rather than a motivational exercise. Here's the three-step version I run with Simple-Growth clients.
1. Start with the life, not the company. Three years from today, what does a great week actually look like? Hours worked, time off, what fills the days that matter. What personal income do you want the business to pay you, and what wealth do you want it to build? This question alone tends to take longer to answer honestly than anything else in a strategy session, which is exactly the point.
2. Picture the company in specifics. Not "bigger" — who the customers are, what you're known for, how people find you, the size and feel of the team, what finally runs without you in the room, the revenue and profit numbers. Push for figures, not adjectives. A vision with no numbers is a wish.
3. Anchor it with a why and a decade goal. One sentence on why the business exists at all, and one bold 10-year goal the three-year picture is a genuine step toward. This is what turns a daydream into a direction every decision can be measured against.
Done properly, this takes two pages, not twenty, and it should be short enough to put in front of your team.
"He really got our vision from the beginning and has been a huge help in putting together a clearer plan and strategy for the next five years. Working with Kevin D'Ambros-Smith has given us the space to pause and reflect, on where we are now, where we want to be and how we get there."
— Gabby Kirk, Papier Hq
Most owners aren't avoiding this because they don't see the value. They skip it because it's uncomfortable, unscheduled, and nobody is holding them accountable to finish it. A strategy document with numbers in it feels like "real work." A conversation about what you personally want from the next three years of your life feels indulgent, right up until you're the 47% who still says it's "too early," ten years in.
There's also a real boundary worth naming here: a Vivid Vision tells you what you want your finances and your exit to look like, but turning that into a sale structure, a trust, or a tax-efficient ownership transition is a job for a specialist, not a coach. Chartered Accountants ANZ and a commercial lawyer are the right people once the vision gets specific about money and ownership, knowing that boundary is part of building a properly supported business.
1. Block 90 minutes, alone, and answer the life questions above in writing, not in your head.
2. Write the company picture in present tense, as if three years from now has already happened. Specifics, not adjectives.
3. Share the one-page result with your leadership team before you touch next year's budget.
Ready to build your own three-year picture instead of guessing at "eventually"?
Friday, September 04, 2026
Most growth plans set a revenue number and never check whether the business can actually deliver it. Here's how to build strategy around your real capacity constraint instead.
Friday, September 04, 2026
67% of SME owners fund growth mainly from personal savings, 38% from credit cards, and only 22% from a bank loan. Why that's a risk, not a strategy — and what a real capital plan looks like instead.
Friday, September 04, 2026
67.4% of small business owners know they need a price rise — only 31% have made it. Here's why pricing needs a system, not nerve, and what that system looks like for SME and FMCG owners.
Friday, September 04, 2026
Every scaling SME hits the same transition — from a business that runs on the founder's instincts to one that runs on a team making good decisions without checking first. Here's how the ones that navigate it deliberately do it.
Friday, September 04, 2026
Being "coachable" isn't a fixed trait some owners have and others don't — it's a decision made fresh every week. Here's what actually determines whether coaching sticks.
Friday, September 04, 2026
Your business isn't short of hours — it's short of decisions that don't require you personally. Here's how to find and remove the owner bottleneck, one decision at a time.
Friday, September 04, 2026
Most price objections aren't about the customer's budget — they're about a rep with no confident answer reaching for the easiest lever. Here's how to fix the sales conversation, not just the discount policy.
Friday, September 04, 2026
Chasing brand awareness on a limited budget is the fastest way to spend money without moving revenue. Here's the goal that actually fits a constrained marketing budget, and how to measure it.
Friday, September 04, 2026
Most SME strategy sessions produce energy and an impressive document — and almost no lasting change. Here's what a strategy session actually needs to produce, and how to turn it into real execution.
Friday, September 04, 2026
Only 8% of small business owners say they're fully prepared for succession, and 70% have no formal plan. Here's why succession is a systems problem, not a paperwork one — and the four-question test to check if your business is actually transferable.
Friday, September 04, 2026
Rapid growth kills more SMEs than slow growth does. Here's how overtrading happens, the warning signs owners miss, and how successful scalers fund growth before chasing it.
Friday, September 04, 2026
Scaling a business requires a different identity than starting one did. Here's why coachability, not talent, is the real predictor of who breaks through.
Friday, September 04, 2026
Procrastination on the big strategic project usually isn't a discipline problem — it's a sizing problem. Here's the 20-minute rule that fixes it without more willpower.
Friday, September 04, 2026
Most lost sales die in the first fifteen minutes of the discovery call. Here's the three-question framework that qualifies leads properly and lifts close rates.
Friday, September 04, 2026
Most SME marketing restarts from zero every month. Here's why compounding content — not more content — is what actually builds momentum on a limited budget.