Sunday, October 25, 2026

Help to Grow: Management, a peer group like Vistage, or a business coach? An honest UK comparison, with best for and not ideal if for every option.

Every November, a familiar ritual starts in boardrooms and kitchen-table offices across New Zealand and the US: next year's number gets set. Usually it's last year's revenue plus a percentage that felt ambitious in the moment. A widely cited UK survey of business leaders found 44% had missed their own earnings target at some point, and almost half missed it in the very first quarter of the year. If that's been your pattern too, the problem almost certainly isn't effort — it's how the target got built in the first place.

After founding or co-founding nine companies and coaching more than 200 businesses one-on-one, Kevin has never once seen a team miss a target because they didn't try hard enough. He has seen plenty miss because the target was fiction from the day it was written down.

The Target That Was Never Really a Plan

Here's the enemy: percentage-on-last-year planning. Take this year's revenue, add 15% or 20% because that number sounds motivating in a meeting, and call it the plan. It isn't a plan — it's an extrapolation, and extrapolations don't account for a market that's shifted, a team that's already at capacity, or an owner who's quietly run out of hours in the week.

A 2023 survey conducted by the revenue-intelligence firm Gong, reported in Startups Magazine (UK), found that more than half of business leaders said accurate forecasting mattered more because of economic uncertainty — yet most were still building those forecasts in a spreadsheet, dragging last year's line forward. The target wasn't wrong because people didn't work hard enough to hit it. It was wrong on the day it was set.

The Three Numbers That Actually Set a Realistic Target

Before you write down a number for 2027, run it past three checks instead of one gut feel:

  • Capacity ceiling — what could your current team, systems and cash actually deliver flat out, with no new hires and no new tools? That's your floor, not your target.
  • Market reality check — is your category growing, flat or shrinking right now, and is your plan riding that current or swimming against it? A 20% target in a shrinking category is a different bet than a 20% target in a growing one.
  • Owner bandwidth — how many of next year's hours are already spoken for by you personally? If the plan depends on you doing more of everything, it's not a growth plan — it's a wish with a deadline.

"I have grown my business 5x since working with Kevin. Everything Kevin told me to do was the complete opposite of what I had been doing. Working with Kevin has truly been a complete game changer."

— Richard, Chem Suppliers

Why Owners Keep Building the Same Broken Plan

Most owners already sense their target is soft. They build it the old way anyway, because the three checks above take an honest look at the business, and an honest look takes someone outside the business to run it properly. Inside your own head, the capacity ceiling always looks a little higher and the market always looks a little kinder than it really is. That's not a character flaw — it's just what happens when the person setting the target is the same person who has to live with the consequences of getting it wrong.

This is the exact gap a coach closes: someone in the room who has no incentive to flatter your forecast, and thirty years of watching which numbers hold up and which ones quietly unravel by March.

Key Takeaways

  • Replace "last year plus a percentage" with a target built on capacity, market direction and owner bandwidth.
  • Treat your capacity ceiling as the floor of the conversation, not an aspirational stretch.
  • Check whether your plan is riding your category's current or swimming against it before you commit to a number.
  • Bring in an outside, unflattering view before you finalise next year's target — not after it's already missed.

If your 2027 target is just last year's number with a percentage bolted on, Kevin will help you fix that first.

Be the owner who starts 2027 with a target built on real numbers, not a hopeful percentage.

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Seventy six percent of purchase decisions happen at the shelf, not in the weeks of advertising before it. Here is the Shelf Impact Audit for FMCG brands that have never actually tested their own packaging.

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Your dashboard has too many numbers and no owner for most of them. Here is the Focus Metric Framework SME owners use to find the one number that actually drives growth this quarter.

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Twelve million American businesses worth nearly $10 trillion need new owners within a decade - and most of them, as currently run, cannot be sold. Here is the three-part test that tells you whether yours is one of them, and what to fix first.

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Bain found a 5 percent lift in customer retention can boost profits 25 to 95 percent. Here's the Cohort Retention Audit that reveals whether your growth is real or just replacing lost customers.

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Research shows much of the feedback we receive is too comfortable to change anything. Here's the Pushback Test that reveals whether your business coach genuinely challenges you or just agrees.

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

APA-published research found task switching can cost up to 40 percent of productive time. Here's the Work-in-Progress Cap that stops SME owners starting everything and finishing nothing.

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Gartner found B2B buyers now complete 80 percent of their journey before talking to a vendor. Here's the Pitch Refresh Audit that stops your sales team pitching to a buyer who already knows.

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Nielsen found 92 percent of consumers trust recommendations from people they know over any advertising. Here's the Proof Asset Audit that puts your own customers' stories to work instead.

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Most leadership teams spend less than an hour a month on strategy, and half spend none at all. Here is the protected-time system that fixes it, and why accountability is the missing ingredient.

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

93% of small business owners expect growth this year — but 75% no longer trust their own bank to fund it. Here's the Cash Flow Runway Check to close the gap.

Friday, September 25, 2026

Most strategic plans die quietly by March — not from a bad plan, but from no system to keep it alive. Here's the 90-minute review that fixes it.

Friday, September 25, 2026

Nearly half of buyers already ask AI platforms to recommend a business like yours. Here's how to make sure you're the one they mention.

Friday, September 25, 2026

Most SME owners discount before the buyer even objects — and call it good negotiating. Here's the sequence that stops you giving margin away for free.

Friday, September 25, 2026

Your Q4 plan will likely be forgotten by February unless something forces it back into view every week. Here's the 15-minute ritual that keeps it alive.

Friday, September 25, 2026

The smartest owners often have the biggest blind spots, because nobody around them dares to point them out. Here's how to find yours before they cost you.